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BOAT Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: BOAT's implied volatility shows a potential decrease over time, suggesting stabilization. Historical returns indicate a likelihood of moderate positive growth.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility at certain strikes suggests potential risks. Recent negative sentiment in shipping and geopolitical tensions could trigger declines.

Potential Outcomes: Geopolitical tensions (30%), regulatory support (40%), stable demand (30%) may affect BOAT's price.

Trading Oracle: Considering current high implied volatility, a bearish credit spread (BOAT 30/35) expiring in March 2025 could exploit this condition. High reward:risk and potential for profit if volatility declines.

December 29, 2024

Tidal ETF Trust - SonicShares Global Shipping Forecast

BOAT Tidal ETF Trust - SonicShares Global Shipping

Price Forecast
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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BOAT

ING ING Groep (0.68)

OLED Universal Display (0.67)

OGN Organon (0.64)

AZN Astrazeneca (0.63)

TNK Teekay Tankers (0.62)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BOAT

ESTC Elastic (-0.0)

LYB LyondellBasell Industries (-0.0)

RIG Transocean (-0.0)

DEI Douglas Emmett (0.01)

CNXC Concentrix (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BOAT

CWH Camping World (-0.63)

KOLD ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (-0.64)

ODFL Old Dominion Freight Line (-0.67)

PAYC Paycom Software (-0.7)

WHR Whirlpool (-0.71)

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