CBL Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: CBL's recent price momentum, coupled with investor optimism and potential AFFO growth, suggests a strong upward trajectory.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and historical mean reversion raise concerns about potential downward pressure or price instability.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Price stabilizes around $34 (50%).
  • Price rises to $38 (30%).
  • Price declines to $30 (20%).




Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish debit spread with $33-$35 calls expiring in June to capitalize on potential upward movement, given lower implied volatility and positive sentiment. This balances risk-reward efficiently.



February 15, 2025


CBL& Associates Properties, Inc. - New Forecast

CBL        CBL& Associates Properties, Inc. - New











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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CBL



BZH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BZH  Beazer Homes USA (-0.0)


BHVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BHVN  Biohaven Pharmaceutical (0.02)


PHM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PHM  PulteGroup (0.03)


ABR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABR  Arbor Realty (0.03)


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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CBL



HUN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HUN  Huntsman (-0.87)


CNI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNI  Canadian National Railway (-0.88)


GES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GES  Guess (-0.89)


LYB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LYB  LyondellBasell Industries (-0.89)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.92)









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