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Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Crown Holdings can benefit from sustained demand in metal packaging, supported by volatility structures indicating a favorable trading environment and market positioning for expansion.



Bearish Case: Economic pressures, including inflation and potential supply chain disruptions, could impact Crown's margins, with options indicating elevated volatility and market skepticism translating to downside risks.



Potential Outcomes:

1) 50% chance of a continued mean reversion trend;

2) 30% chance of volatility dampening, improving market sentiment;

3) 20% likelihood of economic pressures leading to earnings misses exacerbating price decline.



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October 27, 2024


Crown Holdings Forecast

CCK        Crown Holdings

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