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CCK Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Crown Holdings' focus on sustainable packaging and long-term demand trends positions it for growth, with options indicating positive sentiment and potential price rise.



Bearish Case: Economic headwinds, high implied volatility, and recent cautious sentiment might pressure CCK, resulting in downside risk if demand ebbs and costs rise.



Potential Outcomes: 50% CCK maintains mean reversion and moderate gains. 30% macro risks cause underperformance. 20% unexpected catalysts drive up price.



Trading Oracle: Implement a Bullish Long Volatility strategy by buying $87.5 call options and selling fewer $92.5 call options. Leverages high volatility and positive sentiment, targeting rebounds with controlled risk.


March 23, 2025


Crown Holdings Forecast

CCK        Crown Holdings

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CCK


SO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SO  Southern (0.89)


VNQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VNQ  Vanguard Real Estate Index (0.87)


HIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIG  Hartford Financial Services (0.86)


PTGX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTGX  Protagonist Therapeutics (0.84)


DTE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DTE  DTE Energy (0.83)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CCK


FND Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FND  Floor & Decor (0.0)


CXW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CXW  CoreCivic (0.0)


BC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BC  Brunswick (-0.01)


CRC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRC  California Resources (-0.01)


AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CCK


ASML Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASML  New York Shares (-0.7)


PTEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTEN  Patterson-UTI Energy (-0.71)


BBWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBWI  Bath & Body Works (-0.75)


INDI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INDI  Indie Semiconductor (-0.77)


AAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AAP  Advance Auto Parts (-0.8)







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