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CCK Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: CCK's focus on sustainability and strategic cost controls amidst rising demand in packaging predicts growth. Mean reversion indicates potential upward price trend.

Bearish Case: Elevated implied volatility and increased put option activity suggest market skepticism. Macroeconomic pressures and rising costs could impact CCK's profitability.

Potential Outcomes: 45% chance mean reversion continues, leading to gains. 35% chance macroeconomic risks drive down prices. 20% chance strategic shifts spur a bullish breakout.

Trading Oracle: Consider a long debit spread, targeting April $85/$90 strikes. Take advantage of mean reversion potential and backwardation with controlled risk, leveraging high implied volatility.

January 07, 2025

Crown Holdings Forecast

CCK Crown Holdings

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CCK

SO Southern (0.88)

FE Firstenergy (0.87)

ED Consolidated Edison (0.86)

BABA Alibaba (0.84)

PNW Pinnacle West (0.84)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CCK

CWH Camping World (0.0)

FCX Freeport-McMoRan (0.01)

XYL Xylem (0.01)

SCHW Charles Schwab (-0.01)

HCC Warrior Met Coal (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CCK

AAP Advance Auto Parts (-0.73)

ASML New York Shares (-0.74)

SONY Sony Group Corporation (-0.75)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.76)

INDI Indie Semiconductor (-0.79)

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