CCS Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Potential rate cuts boosting demand could reverse recent declines. High implied volatility indicates anticipation of future movements, with historical returns suggesting eventual recovery.




Bearish Case: Persistently high rates and increased volatility may pressure margins, further hampering CCS. Historical trends reveal a high likelihood of negative returns over short holding periods.




Potential Outcomes:
  1. Rate cuts boost demand (30%).
  2. High rates persist, reducing margins (50%).
  3. Short-term decline due to economic stress (20%).



May 06, 2025


Century Communities Forecast

CCS        Century Communities











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CCS



LEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEN  Lennar (0.99)


SAFE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAFE  Safehold (0.94)


IFF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IFF  International Flavors & Fragrances (0.92)


JOE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JOE  St. Joe (0.91)


OMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OMC  Omnicom Group (0.91)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CCS



ROK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ROK  Rockwell Automation (0.03)


HTGC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HTGC  Hercules (0.03)


ULTA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ULTA  Ulta Beauty (-0.03)


RACE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RACE  Ferrari (0.05)


WWW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WWW  Wolverine World Wide (0.05)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CCS



BBAR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBAR  BBVA Argentina (-0.73)


HIMS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMS  Hims & Hers Health (-0.73)


HOOD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HOOD  Robinhood Markets (-0.74)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.76)


LRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LRN  Stride (-0.77)









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