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CHN Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: China's tech and green energy sectors may drive economic growth, with foreign partnerships enhancing stability amid easing global tensions.

Bearish Case: Geopolitical risks, particularly around Taiwan, and economic uncertainties may continue to weigh on CHN, potentially leading to market volatility.

Potential Outcomes: Tech advances boost CHN by 8% (40%).
Stable geopolitics lead to 5% growth (30%).
Increased tensions cause 10% decline (30%).

June 20, 2025

China Forecast

CHN China

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CHN

MCHI BTC iShares MSCI China (0.95)

LI Li Auto (0.91)

BEKE KE (0.9)

BILI Bilibili (0.87)

BABA Alibaba (0.85)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CHN

AA Alcoa (-0.0)

EWW iShares MSCI Mexico (-0.01)

BCSF Bain Capital Specialty Finance (0.01)

ANET Arista Networks (0.02)

DNA Ginkgo Bioworks (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CHN

TDW Tidewater Inc. - New (-0.62)

ADM Archer Daniels Midland (-0.63)

ELF e.l.f. Beauty (-0.66)

CNC Centene (-0.66)

NUVB Nuvation Bio (-0.74)

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