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AI CHN Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: China's continuous investment in technology, green energy, and infrastructure indicates sustained economic resilience. Despite geopolitical tensions, potential stabilization could drive CHN returns higher over the next few years.

Bearish Case: Escalating geopolitical tensions, especially regarding Taiwan, alongside domestic economic slowdowns, could severely impact investor sentiment and hinder CHN's recovery prospects, leading to further price declines.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Economic recovery in China improves returns (60%);

2. Increased US-China tensions result in sanctions (40%);

3. Stabilization of Taiwan relations leads to investor confidence (30%);

4. Major tech breakthrough propels growth (20%).

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September 11, 2024

China Forecast

CHN China

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CHN

CWEB Direxion Daily CSI China Internet Index Bu (0.94)

JD JD.com (0.91)

KWEB KraneShares CSI China Internet (0.9)

MCHI BTC iShares MSCI China (0.88)

NTR Nutrien (0.69)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CHN

VALE Vale (0.0)

EWA BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares MSCI Australia (0.0)

SANA Sana Biotechnology (-0.0)

NKLA Nikola (-0.0)

ADI Analog Devices (0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CHN

CTSH Cognizant Technology (-0.57)

LH Laboratory Corp. Of America (-0.59)

IONS Ionis Pharmaceuticals (-0.6)

FL Foot Locker (-0.6)

YANG Direxion Daily FTSE China Bear 3X Shares (-0.63)

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