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Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: CIBC could benefit from a rally in market sentiments and potentially favorable earnings reports, supported by strong institutional backing and growth in business volumes, suggesting upward price movement.



Bearish Case: Potential deterioration in credit quality due to higher interest rates and ongoing economic volatility could negatively impact CIBC’s stock price, causing downward pressure.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Improved business volume (40%) due to market recovery.

2. Credit quality risks (30%) from rate hikes.

3. Economic downturn leading to flat performance (20%).

4. Regulatory changes impacting profitability (10%).



Trading Oracle: Consider using a bull put spread strategy, selling $62.50 puts and buying $60 puts to capture premium with a high probability of profit and limited downside risk. Given the current market setup, this strategy aligns with favorable volatility expectations, targeting a 25% return over the next few months.


November 21, 2024


Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce Forecast

CM        Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce

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