DEM Forecast


Bullish Case: With implied volatility slightly elevated, DEM's historical return surface suggests a likelihood of positive returns over a 1-2 year period, indicating potential for moderate appreciation despite recent flat price action.


Bearish Case: Market to Helium implied volatility suggests higher-than-expected uncertainty. DEM's recent flat and slightly declining price action reinforces the bearish scenario of potential short-term corrections.


Potential Outcomes: Probabilities: - Minor appreciation (0-10%): 50% - Significant appreciation (>10%): 20% - Minor decline (0-10%): 20% - Significant decline (>10%): 10%. Estimated from current volatility surfaces and historical data.


Trading Oracle: Trade a neutral 43/46 iron condor expiring in 60 days. Sell OTM calls and puts to benefit from elevated implied volatility mean reversion. This strategy offers a positive edge, high reward:risk, and a strong probability of profit.


July 21, 2024


WisdomTree Trust - WisdomTree Emerging Markets High Dividend Forecast

DEM      WisdomTree Trust - WisdomTree Emerging Markets High Dividend











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DEM



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.9)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.5)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.65)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.66)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DEM



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.5)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.65)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.66)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.9)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DEM



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.9)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.5)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.65)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.66)





Become a more profitable investor with AI optimized trading strategies






×

Chat with DEM


 Ask any question about DEM!