VWO Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Investors expecting upper volatility spikes can see VWO appreciate past $45 on positive emerging market news. Implied volatility indicates potential market moves.


Bearish Case: Political instability and economic challenges in emerging markets could push VWO below $42, aligning with considerable historical negative returns.


Potential Outcomes: Probability estimates: Sideways (40%), Moderate Gain (30%), Significant Drop (20%), Sharp Spike (10%). Each weighed against historical patterns and geopolitical factors.


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May 22, 2024


Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Forecast

VWO      Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with VWO



JMIA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JMIA  Jumia Technologies Ag (0.89)


XLP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLP  Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR (0.88)


MDU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MDU  MDU Resources (0.87)


PUBM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PUBM  PubMatic (0.87)


CROX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CROX  Crocs (0.86)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VWO



TWO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TWO  Two Harbors Investment (0.0)


INSM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INSM  Insmed (0.0)


DAR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAR  Darling Ingredients (0.0)


PBR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PBR  Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrobras (0.0)


SJM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SJM  J.M. Smucker (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VWO



HUM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HUM  Humana (-0.67)


UUUU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UUUU  Energy Fuels (-0.68)


HNRG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HNRG  Hallador Energy (-0.71)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.72)


TZA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TZA  Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X Shares (-0.76)





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