VWO Forecast + Trading Strategies




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: VWO's implied volatility forecast is increasing, suggesting potential price movements. Economic improvements in emerging markets might translate into VWO gains, especially if geopolitical tensions ease, leading to a bullish sentiment.




Bearish Case: Continued political instability and economic uncertainty in emerging markets could induce a downturn in VWO, supported by historical trends showing persistent underperformance in unfavorable conditions, risking bearish sentiment.




Potential Outcomes:

1) 40% chance VWO rises to $50 due to improved economic sentiment.

2) 35% chance VWO remains flat around $48 due to market uncertainty.

3) 25% chance a downturn occurs to $45, given geopolitical tensions persist.




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October 20, 2024


Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Forecast

VWO        Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with VWO



VT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VT  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Total World Stock (0.96)


EDC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EDC  Direxion Daily Emerging Markets Bull 3X Sh (0.96)


LDOS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LDOS  Leidos (0.95)


SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.95)


IVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IVV  BTC iShares Core S&P 500 (0.95)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VWO



LH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LH  Laboratory Corp. Of America (0.0)


VAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAL  Valaris (0.0)


BWA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BWA  BorgWarner (0.0)


ABNB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABNB  Airbnb (-0.0)


ARDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARDX  Ardelyx (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VWO



UVIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVIX  VS Trust - 2x Long VIX Futures (-0.93)


SQQQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SQQQ  ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (-0.94)


SH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SH  ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.95)


SDS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDS  ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.95)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.95)









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