VWO Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: With VWO's perceived undervaluation in emerging markets and anticipated policy easing, a bullish sentiment may arise, potentially driving prices above $45 as emerging markets stabilize.


Bearish Case: Given ongoing geopolitical instability and the high volume of bearish options trades, VWO might see a decline towards the $40 mark if negative economic data surfaces.


Potential Outcomes:

1) 40% chance VWO rises to $45 due to positive emerging market news.

2) 30% chance for a dip to $40 amid global economic concerns.

3) 20% chance remains flat around $43.

4) 10% chance a sharp downturn to $38 due to severe market turbulence.


Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish long call spread: buy August 44 calls, sell August 46 calls, capitalizing on implied volatility that exceeds market volatility. Focus on harnessing upside potential within the next 30 days, ensuring favorable risk-reward dynamics with a high probability of profit.


July 24, 2024


Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Forecast

VWO      Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets











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FHN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FHN  First Horizon (0.84)


SPHB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPHB  Invesco Capital Management LLC - Invesco S&P 500 High Beta (0.84)


RY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RY  Royal Bank Of Canada (0.83)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VWO



INSP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INSP  Inspire Medical Systems (-0.06)


FL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FL  Foot Locker (0.19)


GUSH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GUSH  Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exp. & Prod. (0.19)


LTPZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LTPZ  PIMCO 15+ Year U.S. TIPS Index Exchange-Traded (0.19)


AOSL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AOSL  Alpha & Omega Semiconductor (0.2)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VWO



EOSE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EOSE  Eos Energy Enterprises (-0.41)


PII Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PII  Polaris (-0.46)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.49)


EVLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EVLV  Evolv (-0.5)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.54)





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