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DIA Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: DIA shows a 61% more bullish risk, supported by historical returns and relatively stable low IVs, suggesting potential upward momentum.

Bearish Case: Recent flat price action and market backwardation indicate potential short-term volatility and profit-taking pressures by cautious investors.

Potential Outcomes: 45% Uptrend: Driven by bullish sentiment and historical patterns.
35% Sideways: Flat due to current backwardation and uncertainty.
20% Downturn: Triggered by unexpected economic events or profit-taking.

Trading Oracle: Execute short-term bullish debit spreads (e.g., buy $435 calls, sell $440 calls) expiring in February to capture upward momentum. Take advantage of low implied volatility and high historical uptrend probabilities to optimize risk-return ratio.

January 02, 2025

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DIA SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DIA

UDOW ProShares UltraPro Dow30 (0.98)

IWD iShares Russell 1000 Value (0.96)

SSO ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.95)

VOO Vanguard S&P 500 (0.95)

JPM JPMorgan Chase (0.94)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DIA

CARS Cars.com (0.0)

NKLA Nikola (0.01)

WHR Whirlpool (0.01)

GL Globe Life (-0.01)

HCC Warrior Met Coal (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DIA

SHLS Shoals (-0.82)

APLS Apellis Pharmaceuticals (-0.83)

LABD Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.83)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.84)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.95)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.