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EML Forecast



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Infrastructure spending and a recovering economy in CEE could drive significant demand for EML, leading to potential price appreciation as historical data suggests positive returns after downturns.



Bearish Case: Geopolitical instability and supply chain disruptions may hinder EML's performance, as evidenced by past flat price actions and rising costs indicated in market analyses.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Economic rebound in CEE (60%);

2. Supply chain disruptions due to geopolitical issues (40%);

3. Infrastructure investments enhancing demand (50%);

4. Continued operational hurdles from rising costs (30%).



Trading Oracle: Consider bullish debit spreads targeting a 6-month horizon. This approach leverages historical recovery trends and expected infrastructure investments, ensuring a high reward-to-risk profile. Keep options in line with upcoming economic developments to maximize alpha while managing risk effectively.


December 03, 2024


Eastern Forecast

EML        Eastern

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Assets that tend to move strongly with EML


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SA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SA  Seabridge Gold (0.77)


XLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLB  Active Trust - Materials Select Sector SPDR (0.77)


OMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OMC  Omnicom Group (0.74)


CMI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMI  Cummins (0.74)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to EML


TIGR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TIGR  UP Fintech (-0.0)


TWLO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TWLO  Twilio (-0.0)


DQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DQ  Daqo New Energy (-0.0)


HCC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCC  Warrior Met Coal (-0.0)


WBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBS  Webster Financial (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against EML


AMCX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMCX  AMC Networks (-0.58)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.58)


DDD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DDD  3D Systems (-0.59)


ADBE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADBE  Adobe (-0.61)


BIIB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIIB  Biogen (-0.69)


EML News over Time





Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.







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