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FUTU Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: FUTU's strong growth in trading services, indicated by elevated call activity, suggests bullish momentum. The current influx of technological adoption could drive the stock higher, producing significant returns.



Bearish Case: Regulatory pressures and increased competition may dampen FUTU's prospects. The current flat price action combined with rising implied volatility hints at market caution and potential downside risk.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued growth in digital adoption (60%)
2. Regulatory challenges emerge (30%)
3. Increased market competition leads to reduced margins (20%)



Trading Oracle: Consider initiating a long call debit spread targeting strikes just above the current price ($90) with near-term expirations. This leverages the heightened implied volatility while balancing risk and reward potential efficiently, aiming for a significant return on risk due to favorable market conditions.


November 21, 2024











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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FUTU


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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FUTU


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BMRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMRN  Registered Shares (-0.85)







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