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GE Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: GE's aerospace division is thriving, driving revenues and projecting growth with substantial buybacks and dividends, indicating strong investor confidence.



Bearish Case: Potential market volatility and high implied volatility levels signal caution, as external economic pressures could suppress stock performance.



Potential Outcomes: 60% chance of continued growth in aerospace; 25% chance volatility impacts performance; 15% risk of unforeseen setbacks.



Trading Oracle: Consider long call debit spreads targeting expirations around June 2025, given high implied volatility and positive aerospace outlook. Aim for $195 calls, selling $200 calls for high reward:risk. Hedge against volatility with short put spreads around $180.


January 29, 2025


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