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GHM Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: GHM benefits from strong aerospace sector growth and recovering demand, supported by positive earnings and high institutional confidence Helium.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and mean-reverting trends with potential economic headwinds suggest risks of price corrections for GHM Helium Helium.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Market correction (35%): Economic slowdown impacts Helium.

2. Continued growth (60%): Strategic management actions Helium.

3. Increased competition impacts (5%) Helium.

Trading Oracle: Initiate a bullish debit spread by buying June $45 Calls and selling June $50 Calls. Elevated implied volatility at lower strikes and mean-reverting trends suggest upside within 1-2 months. This strategy balances the attractive risk/reward ratio against potential economic downturns, capitalizing on GHM's robust industrial demand .

January 17, 2025

Graham Forecast

GHM Graham

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with GHM

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COOP Mr. Cooper (0.86)

BCS Barclays (0.85)

VIRT Virtu Financial (0.84)

KKR KKR (0.84)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GHM

APH Amphenol (0.0)

UVXY ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.01)

HCC Warrior Met Coal (0.01)

ACB Aurora Cannabis (0.01)

AZN Astrazeneca (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GHM

EL Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.74)

IEP Icahn (-0.77)

COTY Coty (-0.78)

BCE BCE (-0.78)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.83)

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