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GOOD Forecast

Bullish Case: Stability in dividends and potential mean reversion could drive price support, attracting income-focused investors despite recent declines.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and persistent economic headwinds in real estate might lead to further declines, especially with challenges in industrial and office sectors.

Potential Outcomes: 60% chance of stabilization due to consistent dividends and mean reversion.
25% further decline due to real estate challenges and high office vacancies.
15% potential upside from unexpected positive earnings or market shifts.

March 12, 2025

Gladstone Commercial Forecast

GOOD Gladstone Commercial

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with GOOD

MFC Manulife Financial (0.95)

DDM ProShares Ultra Dow30 (0.93)

CWAN Clearwater Analytics Holdings (0.93)

AXP American Express (0.92)

VOO Vanguard S&P 500 (0.92)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GOOD

IFF International Flavors & Fragrances (0.0)

UUUU Energy Fuels (-0.0)

HCA HCA Healthcare (-0.01)

KDP Keurig Dr Pepper (0.01)

AMRC Ameresco (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GOOD

WU Western Union (-0.81)

ASML New York Shares (-0.82)

LYB LyondellBasell Industries (-0.82)

GES Guess (-0.83)

DVN Devon Energy (-0.85)

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