Bullish Case: HA's impending merger with Alaska could bring synergies and network expansion. Historically resilient demand and institutional buying signal underlying strength.


Bearish Case: Ongoing regulatory scrutiny and market uncertainty surrounding the Alaska acquisition may trigger adverse reactions, pushing HA's stock down.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Merger approved: 60% chance, stock rises;

2) Regulatory denial: 30% chance, stock falls;

3) Deal renegotiation: 10% chance, increased volatility.


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February 17, 2024


Hawaiian Holdings Forecast

[HA]  Hawaiian Holdings
Price Forecast: BULLISH    Price Action: MEAN REVERTING (?)





Correlated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly with HA



IJS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [IJS]  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value (0.89)


VNQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [VNQ]  Vanguard Real Estate Index (0.89)


XLRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [XLRE]  Real Estate Select Sector SPDR (0.88)


SCHA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SCHA]  Schwab Strategic Trust - Schwab U.S. Small-Cap (0.87)


CM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [CM]  Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce (0.87)



Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets with little price relationship to HA



CRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [CRS]  Carpenter Technology (0.0)


HAS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [HAS]  Hasbro (0.0)


QURE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [QURE]  uniQure (-0.0)


GPRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [GPRE]  Green Plains (-0.01)


CLMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [CLMT]  Calumet Specialty Products (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against HA



FAZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [FAZ]  Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3x Shares (-0.65)


DRV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [DRV]  Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares (-0.85)


TZA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [TZA]  Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X Shares (-0.85)


SRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SRS]  ProShares UltraShort Real Estate (-0.88)


REK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [REK]  ProShares Short Real Estate (-0.89)





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