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HAIL Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: The HAIL ETF shows potential upside due to increasing smart mobility innovations and mean reversion tendencies. Historical returns hint at upward momentum, reinforced by recent market interest recovery.

Bearish Case: HAIL faces potential downside risks from high implied volatility at lower strikes and market instability. Economic uncertainties and limited social media interest present challenges to sustainable growth.

Potential Outcomes: 50% chance of mean reversion gains; 30% risk of volatility-driven declines; 20% likelihood of sector catalysts increasing prices.

June 27, 2025

SPDR S&P Kensho Smart Mobility Forecast

HAIL SPDR S&P Kensho Smart Mobility

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with HAIL

FSLY Fastly (0.8)

QLD ProShares Ultra QQQ (0.79)

XLK Technology Select Sector SPDR (0.76)

VGT Vanguard Information Technology (0.75)

IREN IREN (0.74)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HAIL

HL Hecla Mining (0.0)

LRN Stride (-0.0)

CPER United States Commodity Funds LLC - United States Copper Index (-0.0)

IQV IQVIA (0.0)

EOSE Eos Energy Enterprises (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HAIL

O Realty Income (-0.5)

NGG National Grid (-0.5)

SCO ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil (-0.51)

SPXU ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500 (-0.55)

DUK Duke Energy (-0.61)

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