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HGBL Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: HGBL's mean-reverting nature suggests potential recovery. Positive heritage initiatives could boost interest and demand.

Bearish Case: Economic headwinds and recent declines (27.1% YoY) suggest potential stagnation. High volatility could weigh on returns.

Potential Outcomes: HGBL rebounds due to auction success (40%), faces flat growth amid economic pressure (30%), or declines with low consumer interest (30%).

Trading Oracle: Target long volatility, consider debit spreads over a 6-month horizon. Favor bullish positions, given HGBL's recovery potential and mean-reversion patterns. Set strikes near recent lows ($2.1) for optimal reward-to-risk balance at a 65% profit probability.

February 21, 2025

Heritage Forecast

HGBL Heritage

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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See Longer Forecasts

Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with HGBL

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (0.91)

AAP Advance Auto Parts (0.85)

APLS Apellis Pharmaceuticals (0.85)

TRIP TripAdvisor (0.85)

CRSR Corsair Gaming (0.84)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HGBL

VTRS Viatris (-0.0)

HCC Warrior Met Coal (-0.01)

DNN Denison Mines (-0.01)

DOX Amdocs (-0.01)

FCX Freeport-McMoRan (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HGBL

XLP Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR (-0.88)

TT Trane (-0.88)

PNW Pinnacle West (-0.9)

SO Southern (-0.92)

AFL Aflac (-0.92)

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