HIPS Forecast


Bullish Case: High income potential and strategic focus on gold may hedge against inflation, offering a stable income stream for investors.




Bearish Case: High volatility and skepticism over consistent returns due to gold price fluctuations and high expense ratios suggest potential risks.




Potential Outcomes: 45% flat trend continues; 25% moderate rise due to market optimism; 30% sharp decline from economic shocks or volatility-induced sell-offs.




Trading Oracle: Initiate a bearish credit spread using HIPS 14.00 C and 15.00 C options to capitalize on high implied volatility. Target 3-month horizon to leverage flat momentum, aiming for high probability profit and minimal risk exposure.



February 11, 2025


GraniteShares Gold Trust - GraniteShares HIPS US High Income Forecast

HIPS        GraniteShares Gold Trust - GraniteShares HIPS US High Income











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with HIPS



DAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAN  Dana (0.76)


SCHW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCHW  Charles Schwab (0.76)


APG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APG  APi (0.71)


GTLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GTLS  Chart Industries (0.68)


URBN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   URBN  Urban Outfitters (0.67)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HIPS



AMR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMR  Alta Mesa Resources (-0.0)


EL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EL  Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.0)


CINF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CINF  Cincinnati Financial (-0.0)


LEA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEA  Lear (0.0)


X Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   X  United States Steel (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HIPS



UVXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVXY  ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.57)


EIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EIX  Edison International (-0.58)


LEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEN  Lennar (-0.6)


VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.65)


VXX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VXX  iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.66)









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