HOMB Forecast


Bullish Case: HOMB's strong institutional ownership, positive Q2 results, and strategic leadership changes enhance profitability outlook amidst regulatory and economic stability [Yahoo, defenseworld.net].


Bearish Case: Challenges like loan balance contraction, deposit remix headwinds, and recent insider selling could suppress earnings and affect share price [Yahoo, defenseworld.net, Helium, Helium].


Potential Outcomes: 60% chance of stabilizing/steady earnings due to robust internal management [Helium]. 30% chance of earnings drop from unfavorable macro conditions [Helium]. 10% chance of unforeseen economic issues [Helium].


Trading Oracle: Bearish debit spreads (Helium Long Volatility), targeting December 2024 $22.50 Puts. Expectation: macroeconomic factors and insider sales trigger downside by Q4 2024. High-risk/reward with potential profit from projected volatility.


July 10, 2024


Home Bancshares Forecast

HOMB      Home Bancshares











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with HOMB



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.6)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.09)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.15)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.35)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HOMB



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.09)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.15)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.35)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.6)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HOMB



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.6)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.09)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.15)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.35)





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