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HOUR Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: HOUR's mean reversion tendency, alongside recent regulatory advances and positive sentiment, support a potential rebound. Historical low setups and recent price uptick suggest a probable upward shift.



Bearish Case: Persistent negative returns depicted in the historical surface and ongoing market uncertainties indicate potential price pressure. High SPY implied volatility suggests broader market instability, affecting HOUR negatively.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Return to mean (35%): +10% as price stabilizes.

2. Regulatory catalyst (25%): +15-20% from improvements.

3. Market downturn (40%): -15-25% if economic conditions worsen.


May 15, 2025


Hour Loop Forecast

HOUR        Hour Loop

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with HOUR


CMI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMI  Cummins (0.85)


WH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WH  Wyndham Hotels & Resorts (0.85)


YPF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YPF  YPF (0.84)


TRGP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRGP  Targa Resources (0.83)


EXPE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXPE  Expedia (0.83)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HOUR


NIO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NIO  NIO (-0.0)


JDST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JDST  Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Be (-0.0)


CWEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CWEN  Clearway Energy (-0.01)


UNH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNH  Unitedhealth (0.01)


PLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PLD  Prologis (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HOUR


ADM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADM  Archer Daniels Midland (-0.65)


EC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EC  Ecopetrol SA (-0.67)


EWW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWW  iShares MSCI Mexico (-0.7)


TMDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMDX  Transmedics (-0.7)


UDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UDN  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.79)







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