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IBKR Forecast



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: IBKR demonstrates strong price momentum with a forecasted price increase of 1.9%. The implied volatility surface suggests a greater likelihood for upward movements, supported by recent positive options trading trends.



Bearish Case: While IBKR's impressive historical returns support bullish sentiment, low trading volume (34th percentile) and the decline in market implied volatility raise concerns for potential price corrections.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Growth due to favorable earnings: 45% probability
  • Potential drawdown from low volume and regulatory risks: 30% probability
  • Stagnation as market adjusts after volatility spike: 25% probability



Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish put credit spread targeting short-term expirations ($180-$185 strikes) to leverage current low implied volatility. This strategy aligns with IBKR's growth outlook while minimizing downside risks from potential market corrections.


November 20, 2024


Interactive Brokers Forecast

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with IBKR


BSX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BSX  Boston Scientific (0.96)


TT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TT  Trane (0.95)


TTD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TTD  Trade Desk (0.95)


NRG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NRG  NRG Energy (0.95)


SPLG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPLG  SPDR Series Trust - SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 (0.94)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to IBKR


FRO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRO  Frontline (-0.0)


IONQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IONQ  IonQ (-0.0)


STNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNG  Scorpio Tankers (-0.0)


SRRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRRK  Scholar Rock (-0.0)


HAE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HAE  Haemonetics (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against IBKR


XRAY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRAY  DENTSPLY Sirona (-0.88)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.89)


VSAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSAT  Viasat (-0.9)


JACK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JACK  Jack In The Box (-0.91)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.94)







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