IBM Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: IBM's advancements in AI, cloud, and quantum computing, paired with strategic partnerships, prime it for growth. Low-term volatility suggests stable gains.




Bearish Case: Ongoing insider sales and high debt raise concerns. Market skepticism over IBM's competitive pace, along with recent layoffs, increase downside risk.




Potential Outcomes:

1. AI/cloud growth boosts IBM (40%)
2. Insider selling causes decline (35%)
3. Stable trading amid mixed signals (25%)



April 18, 2025


International Business Machines Forecast

IBM        International Business Machines











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FOXA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FOXA  Fox Corporation - (0.93)


BK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BK  Bank Of New York Mellon (0.93)


TSAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TSAT  Telesat Corp (0.92)


VNET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VNET  VNET (0.91)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to IBM



SG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SG  Sweetgreen (0.0)


MOD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MOD  Modine Manufacturing (-0.0)


XLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLV  Health Care Select Sector SPDR (-0.01)


H Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   H  Hyatt Hotels (-0.01)


ROIV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ROIV  Roivant Sciences (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against IBM



ADNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADNT  Adient (-0.87)


ATKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ATKR  Atkore (-0.88)


GES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GES  Guess (-0.9)


MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (-0.91)


CGC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CGC  Canopy Growth (-0.91)









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