IBM Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: IBM's strategic focus on AI and cloud services, coupled with a favorable regulatory environment for acquisitions, supports growth potential.




Bearish Case: IBM faces risks from insider selling, flat revenue growth, and volatility in macroeconomic conditions, impacting investor confidence.




Potential Outcomes: Growth driven by AI, cloud investments (40%). Market stabilization leading to sideways trading (30%). Downturn from market skepticism (30%).




Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread for IBM: Buy the 06/20/2025 $260 call and sell the $265 call. The backwardation in implied volatility suggests a potential for upward price movement. With a 60-day horizon, this strategy offers a favorable risk/reward ratio, capturing potential gains while limiting downside.



February 04, 2025


International Business Machines Forecast

IBM        International Business Machines











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