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IBM Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: IBM's advancements in AI, cloud, and quantum computing, paired with strategic partnerships, prime it for growth. Low-term volatility suggests stable gains.

Bearish Case: Ongoing insider sales and high debt raise concerns. Market skepticism over IBM's competitive pace, along with recent layoffs, increase downside risk.

Potential Outcomes: 1. AI/cloud growth boosts IBM (40%)
2. Insider selling causes decline (35%)
3. Stable trading amid mixed signals (25%)

April 18, 2025

International Business Machines Forecast

IBM International Business Machines

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with IBM

RKLB Rocket Lab USA (0.86)

SATS EchoStar (0.86)

DFS Discover Financial Services (0.86)

JPM JPMorgan Chase (0.85)

CLBT Cellebrite DI (0.85)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to IBM

XLV Health Care Select Sector SPDR (-0.01)

ROIV Roivant Sciences (0.01)

HCA HCA Healthcare (-0.02)

RMBS Rambus (-0.03)

LU Lufax Holding Ltd (-0.05)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against IBM

ASC Ardmore Shipping (-0.86)

CRON Cronos (-0.87)

ATKR Atkore (-0.88)

TDW Tidewater Inc. - New (-0.88)

GES Guess (-0.9)

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