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IGF Forecast



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Bullish sentiment bolstered by anticipated infrastructure spending, implying potential price increases. Current high implied volatility suggests that traders expect significant price movements, possibly upward.



Bearish Case: Mitigating infrastructure funding and economic uncertainties could lead to stagnation or declines. High market volatility indicates a potential for price swings, but current stagnation could solidify bearish positions.



Potential Outcomes:

1. 45% chance of growth due to infrastructure boosts.

2. 30% chance of stagnation if current patterns hold.

3. 25% chance of decline based on economic downturns.



Trading Oracle: Engage in debit spreads targeting $55-$56 strikes over the next 60 days, leveraging the high implied volatility for potential upside. Consider a bullish position as favorably anticipated volatility spikes provide leverage for gains. Aim for limited risk while capturing upward momentum.


October 20, 2024


BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Global Infrastructure Forecast

IGF        BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Global Infrastructure

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with IGF


XLU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLU  Utilities Select Sector SPDR (0.98)


UTSL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UTSL  Direxion Daily Utilities Bull 3X Shares (0.98)


EIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EIX  Edison International (0.97)


D Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   D  Dominion Energy (0.97)


TPB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TPB  Turning Point Brands (0.96)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to IGF


CME Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CME  CME (-0.0)


NEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NEP  NextEra Energy (0.01)


LYFT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LYFT  Lyft (0.01)


GTLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GTLS  Chart Industries (0.01)


LRCX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LRCX  Lam Research (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against IGF


IART Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IART  Integra Lifesciences (-0.86)


MED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MED  Medifast (-0.86)


SH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SH  ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.87)


SDS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDS  ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.88)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.88)







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