IGV Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: The software sector's potential rebound, driven by innovation in AI and cloud computing, may bolster IGV. The Helium forecast's higher implied volatility suggests growing investor confidence and potential for upward movement.




Bearish Case: IGV faces risks from high regulation, recent negative returns, and market skepticism, evident in higher volume of put options. Volatility remains elevated, implying potential for further declines in tech's performance amidst economic uncertainty.




Potential Outcomes:
  1. 30% chance of market rebound due to strong tech earnings.
  2. 40% chance of sideways trading as market evaluates regulations.
  3. 30% chance of decline due to regulatory impacts and high market uncertainty.




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April 10, 2025


BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector Forecast

IGV        BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector











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