ITOS Forecast


Bullish Case: ITOS's recent bullish momentum (+55.2% over 90 days) and high call volume suggest potential further upside. Mean reversion support backs positive price action. The high volatility at lower strikes offers an opportunity for options strategies to benefit from potential upward movements.


Bearish Case: ITOS displayed significant vulnerability in recent months (-8.1% over 60 days) and issues associated with high implied volatility indicate risk of short-term downside. The historical price return surface indicates a higher probability of negative returns over 1-year holding periods.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Short-term drop (-5% return within a year, 80%) due to mean reversion.

2. Mean reversion-driven bounce (20%) indicated by historical trends and moderate long-term holding probability.

3. Extreme negative price action due to market volatility and historical trends (-10% or more return, 60%).


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July 16, 2024


ITeos Therapeutics Forecast

ITOS      ITeos Therapeutics











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Uncorrelated Assets

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AUPH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AUPH  Aurinia Pharmaceuticals (-0.0)


KTOS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KTOS  Kratos Defense & Security (-0.0)


NXE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NXE  NexGen Energy (-0.0)


IRBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IRBT  Irobot (0.0)


GT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GT  Goodyear Tire & Rubber (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ITOS



YANG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YANG  Direxion Daily FTSE China Bear 3X Shares (-0.67)


AKAM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AKAM  Akamai (-0.68)


NFE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NFE  New Fortress Energy (-0.69)


IONS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IONS  Ionis Pharmaceuticals (-0.73)


UVIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVIX  VS Trust - 2x Long VIX Futures (-0.76)





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