JAZZ Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: The positive European regulatory recommendations and high call option volume signal potential for upward movement if FDA approvals align, with options term structure supporting potential volatility spikes.




Bearish Case: Recent legal challenges and reliance on key drugs pose significant risks. The persistent backwardation in the term structure signals market unease, and historical underperformance raises concerns.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Successful pipeline advancements drive 30% increase (60%).

2. Regulatory setbacks cause 20% drop (25%).

3. Stable performance with minor movements (15%).



May 15, 2025


Jazz Pharmaceuticals Forecast

JAZZ        Jazz Pharmaceuticals











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NOA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOA  North American Construction (-0.01)


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RPD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RPD  Rapid7 (-0.03)


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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against JAZZ



ASH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASH  Ashland (-0.63)


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UDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UDN  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.7)









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