LW Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Potential strategic leadership changes and recovery in demand may drive stock price higher, with implied support from options activity.




Bearish Case: Continued leadership turmoil, uncertainty, and low trading volume suggest sustained downward pressure and volatility.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Price increase due to leadership changes (30%).

2. Continued decline from economic pressures (50%).

3. Stability amidst mixed trends (20%).




Trading Oracle: Execute a bearish credit spread given current sentiment. Sell $70 calls and buy $75 calls expiring in 60 days. This strategy leverages current low volatility and high probability of continued downside, ensuring attractive risk-reward ratios.



December 26, 2024


Lamb Weston Forecast

LW        Lamb Weston











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with LW



CRSR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRSR  Corsair Gaming (0.91)


TDOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDOC  Teladoc Health (0.89)


DIN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DIN  Dine Brands (0.87)


WW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WW  WW International (0.86)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (0.84)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LW



ABR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABR  Arbor Realty (-0.0)


NOVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOVA  Sunnova Energy International (-0.0)


FCX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FCX  Freeport-McMoRan (0.01)


PEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PEP  Pepsico (-0.01)


BNO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BNO  United States Commodity Funds LLC - United States Brent Crude Oil (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LW



COOP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COOP  Mr. Cooper (-0.78)


ICE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ICE  Intercontinental Exchange (-0.78)


GLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GLD  SPDR Gold Shares (-0.79)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (-0.79)


FE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FE  Firstenergy (-0.81)









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