ONTO Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Recent demand within the semiconductor sector offers upside potential for ONTO. Historical returns hint at possible recovery if market conditions improve, driven by core demand in AI and semiconductors.




Bearish Case: Ongoing insider selling and recent price drops imply skepticism about ONTO's valuation. High implied volatility suggests caution as market sentiment remains negative amid unstable conditions.




Potential Outcomes: 1. Continued sector growth boosts prices (40%). 2. Insiders' actions cause further decline (30%). 3. Macroeconomic factors stabilize sentiment (20%). 4. Unexpected events disrupt market (10%).



May 29, 2025


Onto Innovation Forecast

ONTO        Onto Innovation











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AMD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMD  Advanced Micro Devices (0.85)


VAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAL  Valaris (0.84)


TDW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDW  Tidewater Inc. - New (0.84)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ONTO



CEG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CEG  Constellation Energy (-0.0)


APPN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APPN  Appian (0.02)


BIP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIP  Brookfield Infrastructure (0.02)


TAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TAL  TAL Education (-0.03)


VSCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSCO  Victoria's Secret (-0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ONTO



IMAX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IMAX  Imax (-0.76)


COMP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COMP  Compass (-0.77)


UNM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNM  Unum (-0.78)


PPL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPL  PPL (-0.8)


ORI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ORI  Old Republic International (-0.83)









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