OVV Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Ovintiv's strategic focus on high-quality assets and operational efficiency could drive a recovery, supported by institutional confidence and potential M&A activity.




Bearish Case: Ongoing market uncertainty and environmental concerns, combined with declining natural gas prices, indicate possible continued weakness and regulatory challenges.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Operational improvements drive growth: 45%.
  • Environmental/regulatory pressures decrease growth: 35%.
  • Sustained price decline due to market conditions: 20%.




Trading Oracle: Bearish Long Volatility: Given current high volatility and flat price outlook, buying OOTM puts and selling fewer further OOTM puts may harness volatility spikes, offering hedge benefits amid uncertainty.



April 16, 2025


Ovintiv Forecast

OVV        Ovintiv











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