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NTRA Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Continued strong revenue growth and favorable legal rulings enhance long-term potential, supported by strategic Medicare coverage expansions.

Bearish Case: Ongoing legal challenges, potential equity dilution, and market competition could pressure profitability and stock valuation in the near term.

Potential Outcomes: Natera wins key lawsuits (60%); boosts profitability.
Strong revenue growth continues (70%); supports bullish case.
Equity dilution impacts valuation (50%); challenges growth.

Trading Oracle: Initiate a bull debit spread with NTRA March 2025 180.00 C and 190.00 C. The term structure contango suggests positive future movements. A short-to-medium horizon aligns with expected revenue announcements, capturing moderate volatility spikes while mitigating risk effectively.

February 12, 2025

Natera Forecast

NTRA Natera

Price Forecast
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