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RIOT Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:




80% Confidence

Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Growing market optimism, driven by potential regulatory clarity and rising Bitcoin prices, could push RIOT to $15, validated by historical return trends and elevated demand in crypto mining.



Bearish Case: Ongoing macroeconomic headwinds and regulatory challenges may consolidate RIOT near $7-$11, as elevated implied volatility indicates hesitation in market sentiment under uncertain conditions.



Potential Outcomes:

1. $15 by year-end (30% chance) due to bullish sentiment.


2. $10 range (50%) as macro issues persist.


3. Below $7 (20%) if negative market trends dominate.



Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish debit spread by buying RIOT $12.50 calls and selling $14 calls, anticipating increased volatility. Given the favorable skew in implied volatility, this strategy allows for significant upside exposure with controlled downside risk.


December 15, 2024


Riot Blockchain Forecast

RIOT        Riot Blockchain

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with RIOT


FRSH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRSH  Freshworks (0.78)


ALGT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALGT  Allegiant Travel (0.77)


ASAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASAN  Asana (0.77)


LULU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LULU  Lululemon Athletica inc. (0.74)


ZD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZD  Ziff Davis (0.74)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RIOT


IHI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IHI  BTC iShares U.S. Medical (0.0)


APO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APO  Apollo (-0.0)


FENY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FENY  Fidelity Covington Trust - Fidelity MSCI Energy Index (-0.0)


ZTS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZTS  Zoetis (-0.01)


LYV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LYV  Live Nation Entertainment (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RIOT


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (-0.66)


MPWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MPWR  Monolithic Power System (-0.66)


KDP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KDP  Keurig Dr Pepper (-0.68)


ING Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ING  ING Groep (-0.69)


SA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SA  Seabridge Gold (-0.69)


RIOT News over Time





Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.







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