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RL Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Ralph Lauren's consistent sales growth, positive brand exposure, and low volatility indicate strong financial health and potential for further stock gains.



Bearish Case: Ongoing reputational risks from investigations, coupled with broader market uncertainties, may dampen investor sentiment and limit stock performance.



Potential Outcomes: Strong brand performance boosts RL stock by 10% (40%). Reputational risks lead to a 5% dip (25%). Market conditions result in stagnation (35%).



Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish debit spread using Helium Long Volatility. Buy RL $270 calls and sell $275 calls, expiring in 30 days. This leverages low volatility and potential upward price momentum, offering a favorable risk-reward profile with a high probability of profit.


February 11, 2025


Ralph Lauren Forecast

RL        Ralph Lauren

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