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ROM Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: ROM's implied volatility suggests high growth potential. Current bullish sentiment, with call options trading 72% more than puts, aligns with historical return patterns indicating significant potential gains.



Bearish Case: Elevated implied volatility and uncertainties suggest downside risk. High volatility disparity between market and helium forecasts imply potential for abrupt corrections, fueled by tech sector uncertainties.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued uptrend (55%): Supported by call volume and historical returns.

2. Short-term correction (30%): Due to high volatility.

3. Prolonged bearish phase (15%): If market sentiment shifts.



Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread using ROM 75 calls, selling ROM 80 calls for February 2025 expiration. Leverage elevated implied volatility and positive sentiment for a profitable reward-to-risk strategy, anticipating upward price movement.


December 26, 2024


ProShares Ultra Technology Forecast

ROM        ProShares Ultra Technology

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ROM


VGT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VGT  Vanguard Information Technology (0.95)


SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.89)


HIMS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMS  Hims & Hers Health (0.88)


VOO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOO  Vanguard S&P 500 (0.88)


COHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COHR  Coherent (0.87)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ROM


OGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OGN  Organon (-0.0)


GIII Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GIII  G-III Apparel (0.0)


VTRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTRS  Viatris (-0.0)


UVXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVXY  ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (0.0)


ANET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ANET  Arista Networks (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ROM


APLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APLS  Apellis Pharmaceuticals (-0.7)


ABEV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABEV  Ambev (-0.71)


BGS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BGS  B&G Foods (-0.73)


VSAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSAT  Viasat (-0.77)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.86)







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