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RSP Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: RSP showing reduced volatility and mean-reversion indicates potential for gains. Recent call volume and inflows support bullish sentiment.

Bearish Case: Persistent backwardation in term structure points to near-term uncertainty. High volatility in options suggests potential downside pressure.

Potential Outcomes: 60% probability: Moderate gains driven by mean-reversion and positive sentiment.
25% probability: Stagnation with sideways movement amid mixed signals.
15% probability: Price declines due to market uncertainties and high volatility risks.

March 18, 2025

Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Forecast

RSP Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with RSP

VIG Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Dividend Appreciation FTF (0.96)

SCHD Schwab US Dividend Equity (0.95)

QQQJ Invesco NASDAQ Next Gen 100 (0.94)

FAS Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares (0.94)

IWP BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Russell Mid-Cap Growth (0.93)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RSP

SU Suncor Energy (-0.0)

IFF International Flavors & Fragrances (0.01)

INTU Intuit (-0.01)

RMBS Rambus (-0.01)

UUUU Energy Fuels (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RSP

EL Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.79)

GLL ProShares UltraShort Gold (-0.79)

ASML New York Shares (-0.79)

DVN Devon Energy (-0.8)

RWM ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.91)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.