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RXRX Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Recursion's cutting-edge AI-driven drug discovery and strategic partnerships suggest growth potential despite previous market volatility.



Bearish Case: High volatility and insider selling, combined with market skepticism around AI drug discovery, may hinder near-term stock appreciation.



Potential Outcomes:

1. 55%: AI breakthroughs drive stock growth.

2. 35%: Continued volatility limits upside.

3. 10%: Economic pressures depress prices.



Trading Oracle: Trade bullish debit spreads with March 2025 $10 call and $11 call, leveraged on elevated implied volatility for high reward:risk. Expect a short-term move; monitor implied volatility closely. This approach has alpha potential and favorable probability of profit.


February 15, 2025


Recursion Pharmaceuticals Forecast

RXRX        Recursion Pharmaceuticals

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