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AI SOI Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: Strong earnings outlook and strategic acquisitions could drive SOI prices upward, supported by positive market sentiment from the oil sector's stabilization.

Bearish Case: Economic headwinds, including geopolitical tensions and rising inflation, may pressure SOI, leading to a downturn especially if earnings disappoint amidst high expectations.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Earnings exceed expectations → 30% probability;

2. Market corrects due to macroeconomic stress → 40%;

3. Continued low oil prices impact operational capacity → 30%.

Trading Oracle: Consider a bull call spread by buying SOI 15.00 C (ask $0.25) and selling 17.50 C (ask $0.15), expiring in September 2024. This position capitalizes on high implied volatility with a 60% probability of profit based on market trends. Expect moderate gains with controlled risk.

August 13, 2024

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SOI

IMAX Imax (0.86)

FNV Franco-Nevada (0.85)

BKR Baker Hughes (0.8)

POET POET (0.77)

OHI Omega Healthcare Investors (0.73)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SOI

ASC Ardmore Shipping (0.0)

ICLN BTC iShares Global Clean Energy (0.0)

BB BlackBerry (0.0)

BRC Brady Corp. (0.0)

HIMS Hims & Hers Health (-0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SOI

AMR Alta Mesa Resources (-0.71)

KIRK Kirkland's (-0.74)

DLTR Dollar Tree (-0.74)

AFRM Affirm (-0.76)

GIII G-III Apparel (-0.77)

SOI News over Time

Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.

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