SPLV Forecast


Bullish Case: SPLV's consistent historical returns and institutional support suggest sustained gains. Positive EPS outlook underpins long-term growth.


Bearish Case: High volatility despite SPLV’s typical low-risk profile indicates market skepticism. Institutional sell-offs hint at lack of confidence.


Potential Outcomes: 40% chance of slight gains within three months (strong historical performance), 50% flat due to uncertainty, 10% downside on risk events.


Trading Oracle: Focus on long debit spreads (Helium Long Volatility). Target $60-65 strikes expiring in 60-90 days. High reward-to-risk given elevated implied volatility despite recent flat price action.


July 02, 2024


Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility Forecast

SPLV      Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SPLV



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.91)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.44)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.6)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.65)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SPLV



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.44)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.6)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.65)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.91)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SPLV



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.91)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.44)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.6)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.65)





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