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Price Forecast:




80% Confidence

Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Strong infrastructure spending and project wins may drive STRL above forecasts, reflecting a positive sentiment in the market. Increased government funding can further enhance growth expectations.



Bearish Case: Execution risks and an economic slowdown could weigh heavily on STRL's growth trajectory, potentially leading to a significant pullback in price due to high implied volatility.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Infrastructure investments continue, pushing STRL to $200+ (60% chance).
  • Economic pullback leads STRL down to $150 (25% chance).
  • Flat movement as markets balance uncertainty (15% chance).



Trading Oracle: Utilize a bullish call debit spread by buying the $180 call and selling the $190 call with a 68% probability of profit. This strategy leverages current market volatility to maximize gains while minimizing risk exposure, especially with STRL’s recent positive trends.


December 21, 2024


Sterling Construction Company Forecast

STRL        Sterling Construction Company

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Assets that tend to move strongly with STRL


SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.93)


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TOST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TOST  Toast (0.93)


SPLG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPLG  SPDR Series Trust - SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 (0.93)


TT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TT  Trane (0.92)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to STRL


BBAI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBAI  BigBear.ai (-0.0)


UVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVV  Universal (-0.0)


USD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   USD  ProShares Ultra Semiconductors (-0.0)


CLSK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLSK  Cleanspark (-0.01)


XOP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XOP  SPDR Oil & Gas Exploration and Production (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against STRL


APLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APLS  Apellis Pharmaceuticals (-0.84)


VSAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSAT  Viasat (-0.85)


BMRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMRN  Registered Shares (-0.87)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.92)


SDS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDS  ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.92)







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