SVIX Forecast + Trading Strategies




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: The SVIX term structure shows elevated implied volatility, suggesting potential for significant market movements. If economic indicators surprise positively, we could see a volatility spike, offering an opportunity for profitable trades. Increased demand for protection against market risks could further raise SVIX prices.




Bearish Case: Uncertainty remains high, as demonstrated by the contango in the SVIX term structure. Market sentiment may lean bearish due to potential geopolitical issues and economic instability, leading to sustained downward pressure on SVIX, thus favoring short positions in volatility.




Potential Outcomes:

1) 40% chance of a volatility spike following unexpected positive economic news.

2) 30% possibility of sideways market with small fluctuations.

3) 20% risk of market corrections driven by political instability.

4) 10% likelihood of extreme market fluctuations beyond current projections, enhancing volatility.




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October 09, 2024


VS Trust - 1x Short VIX Futures Forecast

SVIX        VS Trust - 1x Short VIX Futures











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SVIX



MRNA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MRNA  Moderna (0.89)


MCHP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCHP  Microchip Technology (0.87)


SFL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SFL  SFL (0.85)


SNPS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SNPS  Synopsys (0.83)


TROW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TROW  T. Rowe Price (0.82)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SVIX



OUT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OUT  Outfront Media (0.0)


KGC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KGC  Kinross Gold (0.0)


RGLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RGLD  Royal Gold (-0.0)


TGTX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TGTX  TG Therapeutics (-0.0)


AEM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AEM  Agnico Eagle Mines (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SVIX



GILD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GILD  Gilead Sciences (-0.69)


XEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XEL  Xcel Energy (-0.69)


FXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FXY  Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen (-0.7)


NOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOC  Northrop Grumman (-0.72)


VXX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VXX  iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.92)









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