SWAN Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Elevated implied volatility alongside strong historical returns suggests potential for upside as investors seek risk-adjusted returns amid market stability.




Bearish Case: Flat recent performance and heightened volatility signal potential downside risk due to market caution and external shocks.




Potential Outcomes: Flat trading continues (40%), moderate rise to $30-32 (30%), dip to $26-27 amid volatility (20%), extreme market shift (10%).



April 29, 2025


Amplify BlackSwan Growth & Treasury Core Forecast

SWAN        Amplify BlackSwan Growth & Treasury Core











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SWAN



RY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RY  Royal Bank Of Canada (0.91)


VIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIG  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Dividend Appreciation FTF (0.89)


DGRO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DGRO  iShares Core Dividend Growth (0.88)


SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.87)


VT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VT  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Total World Stock (0.87)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SWAN



UWMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UWMC  UWM Holdings Corporation (0.0)


TRI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRI  Thomson-Reuters (0.01)


RRR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RRR  Red Rock Resorts (0.01)


WGO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WGO  Winnebago Industries (-0.01)


ABSI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABSI  Absci (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SWAN



SHEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHEL  Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) (-0.63)


DG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DG  Dollar General (-0.66)


EC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EC  Ecopetrol SA (-0.72)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.75)


SPDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPDN  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1X Shares (-0.89)









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