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TAGS Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: TAGS shows strong mean reversion potential. With historical return peaks in similar conditions and diversified holdings, upside correction is plausible.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and recent price decline suggest ongoing economic pressures. Historical trends show likelihood of stagnation or further drop.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Recovery rally (30%) with stabilized demand.

2. Continued decline (40%) due to macroeconomic factors.

3. Stabilization around current levels (20%) as volatility subsides.

April 19, 2025

Teucrium Agricultural Forecast

TAGS Teucrium Agricultural

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TAGS

GROY Gold Royalty (0.7)

BHP BHP Group Limited (0.68)

W Wayfair (0.65)

DPZ Dominos Pizza (0.62)

ALGN Align Technology (0.6)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TAGS

EXAS Exact Sciences (-0.0)

CAT Caterpillar (-0.01)

HRI Herc (-0.01)

ALLY Ally Financial (0.02)

SMG Scotts Miracle-Gro (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TAGS

CHWY Chewy (-0.52)

TFC Truist Financial (-0.54)

PNC PNC Financial Services (-0.54)

EA Electronic Arts (-0.62)

JDST Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Be (-0.66)

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