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TALO Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: TALO's current high call volume, coupled with favorable historical return probabilities (especially for long-term holdings), suggests a potential upward trajectory due to positive market sentiment and strategic acquisitions.



Bearish Case: Persistently low implied volatility and a recent flat price movement indicate uncertainty around operational performance and possible negative catalysts that could dampen investor confidence and lead to declines.



Potential Outcomes:

1) 40% chance TALO rallies on positive earnings;

2) 30% chance of continued flat performance due to low volatility;

3) 20% risk of declines from external market shocks;

4) 10% from operational setbacks.



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November 03, 2024


Talos Energy Forecast

TALO        Talos Energy

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TALO


APA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APA  Apache (0.88)


GO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GO  Grocery Outlet (0.88)


MOS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MOS  Mosaic (0.86)


SDGR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDGR  Schrodinger (0.85)


HTZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HTZ  Hertz Global Holdings (0.84)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TALO


WMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WMT  Walmart (0.0)


PDD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PDD  Pinduoduo (-0.0)


BNO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BNO  United States Commodity Funds LLC - United States Brent Crude Oil (0.01)


EOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EOG  EOG Resources (0.01)


SABR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SABR  Sabre (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TALO


GLW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GLW  Corning (-0.83)


SMMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SMMT  Summit Therapeutics (-0.84)


CB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CB  Chubb (-0.84)


UL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UL  Unilever (-0.85)


TMUS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMUS  T-Mobile US (-0.85)







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