TDIV Forecast


Bullish Case: Strong AI-related stock performance boosts from companies like Broadcom drive TDIV higher. Reduced rate hike fears start to elevate tech sector appeal ([Helium]).


Bearish Case: Persistently high interest rates and possible economic downturn weigh heavily on tech dividend payers. Volatility suggests market uncertainty ([Yahoo]).


Potential Outcomes:

1) Market rallies on tech optimism: 55%.

2) Economic downturn impacts tech: 30%.

3) Continued volatility without clear trend: 15%. Predictions based on past performance and current market conditions ([Helium]).


Trading Oracle: Implement a debit call spread targeting $78-$82 strikes expiring Sep. 2024. Bullish sentiment is supported by historical returns and AI stock strength. This medium-term strategy leverages moderate volatility with a favorable risk-reward profile.


July 10, 2024


First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund III - First Trust ETF VI First Trust NASDAQ Technology Dividend Index Forecast

TDIV      First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund III - First Trust ETF VI First Trust NASDAQ Technology Dividend Index











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TDIV



IVW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IVW  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares S&P 500 Growth (0.99)


QQQM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   QQQM  Invesco Exchange-Traded Fund Trust II - Invesco NASDAQ 100 (0.99)


SMH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SMH  VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (0.99)


SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.99)


XLK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLK  Technology Select Sector SPDR (0.99)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TDIV



RIOT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RIOT  Riot Blockchain (0.0)


FOXA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FOXA  Fox Corporation - (-0.0)


UVIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVIX  VS Trust - 2x Long VIX Futures (0.0)


MCD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCD  McDonald's (-0.0)


UCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UCO  ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TDIV



VXX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VXX  iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.95)


TECS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TECS  Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3X Shares (-0.99)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.99)


SQQQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SQQQ  ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (-0.99)


SH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SH  ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.99)





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