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Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: THO's strong European growth, technological innovation in RVs, and potential economic recovery suggest a favorable outlook. Recent stabilization in implied volatility indicates reduced downside risk and a better environment for price appreciation.



Bearish Case: High market uncertainty, predominantly bearish trading volume, and potential adverse economic impacts could pressure THO's stock price in the near term. Coupled with lower-than-expected earnings projections, a bearish sentiment may dominate.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued European sales growth: 40% probability.

2. Market volatility leading to price drops: 30% probability.

3. New product innovations bolster demand: 20% probability.

4. Economic downturn impacts RV sales: 10% probability.



Trading Oracle: Implying short volatility via a bullish credit spread, consider selling THO $100 puts and buying $95 puts with an expiration of 60 days. This strategy capitalizes on low implied volatility and anticipates stable price movements, targeting 67% probability of profit with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.


November 15, 2024


Thor Industries Forecast

THO        Thor Industries

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with THO


JBHT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JBHT  J.B. Hunt Transport Services (0.86)


IYT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IYT  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares U.S. Transportation (0.85)


S Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   S  Sprint (0.82)


KNX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KNX  Knight-Swift Transportation (0.82)


BC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BC  Brunswick (0.8)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to THO


TM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TM  Toyota Motor (0.0)


CURE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CURE  Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X Shares (0.0)


MTH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MTH  Meritage Homes (-0.0)


BITO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BITO  ProShares Bitcoin Strategy (-0.0)


FLO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLO  Flowers Foods (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against THO


FSLR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FSLR  First Solar (-0.6)


AR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AR  Antero Resources (-0.62)


SHEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHEL  Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) (-0.64)


PSQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PSQ  ProShares Short QQQ (-0.69)


GTE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GTE  Gran Tierra Energy (-0.76)







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