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TNL Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: With a recent uptick in travel demand post-COVID, TNL shows potential for growth. High options trading volume indicates investor confidence, and historical data suggests a favorable long-term return. Current low implied volatility signals an opportunity for upward price movement.

Bearish Case: High current implied volatility and skepticism around TNL's business model in a post-pandemic market raise concerns. Regulatory challenges and potential declines in consumer spending could lead to downward pressure on stock prices and sentiment.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Economic recovery boosts travel demand (40%);

2. Continued stagnation due to inflation (35%);

3. Regulatory impacts could prompt significant downturns (25%).

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December 19, 2024

Travel+Leisure Forecast

TNL Travel+Leisure

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TNL

EMR Emerson Electric (0.86)

OWL Blue Owl (0.85)

CG Carlyle (0.83)

MIR Mirion Technologies Inc. (0.81)

APO Apollo (0.79)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TNL

ANET Arista Networks (-0.0)

SRPT Sarepta Therapeutics (-0.01)

YANG Direxion Daily FTSE China Bear 3X Shares (-0.01)

LLY Lilly(Eli) (0.02)

ODFL Old Dominion Freight Line (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TNL

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.63)

BCE BCE (-0.64)

VSAT Viasat (-0.65)

NOVA Sunnova Energy International (-0.65)

CNXC Concentrix (-0.74)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.