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AI TNL Forecast

Bullish Case: Positive sentiment around TNL suggests potential for a price rally. Historical data indicates significant upside within holding periods, while current low implied volatility could attract bullish traders as market uncertainty clears.

Bearish Case: Market softening and declining consumer spending present risks for TNL, impacting earnings. High implied volatility on short-term puts reflects investor concern over potential downturns, signaling market pessimism.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Economic recovery boosts travel demand (30%);

2. Continued consumer spending slowdown affects earnings (40%);

3. Strategic partnerships enhance brand value (20%);

4. Regulatory changes impact travel profitability (10%).

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August 22, 2024

Travel+Leisure Forecast

TNL Travel+Leisure

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TNL

H Hyatt Hotels (0.96)

MIDU Direxion Daily Mid Cap Bull 3x Shares (0.95)

PAVE Global X Funds - Global X U.S. Infrastructure Development (0.94)

IR Ingersoll-Rand (0.93)

WMS Advanced Drainage Systems (0.92)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TNL

REPX Riley Exploration Permian (0.0)

UNIT Uniti (-0.0)

OIH VanEck Vectors Oil Services (0.0)

SONY Sony Group Corporation (-0.0)

RMBS Rambus (-0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TNL

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.83)

HUM Humana (-0.83)

SH ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.84)

RWM ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.85)

SRTY ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (-0.86)

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