TRMK Forecast


Bullish Case: Strong underlying fundamentals, recent earnings beat, consistent institutional interest, and price target increases suggest strong potential for a rally, especially given positive historical return likelihoods for holding periods beyond one year.


Bearish Case: Stagnant recent price performance, high implied volatility, and the small probability of significant returns, as per the historical return surface data, suggest the potential downside risk in the near term.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Earnings Beats: 55%

2. Market Underperformance: 45%

3. Institutional Buying: 60%

4. Price Drop due to High Option IV: 30%. Estimates are based on recent performance, analyst ratings, and qualitative data.


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June 30, 2024


Trustmark Forecast

TRMK      Trustmark











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TRMK



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.88)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.28)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.52)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.72)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TRMK



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.28)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.52)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.72)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.88)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TRMK



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.88)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.28)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.52)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.72)





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