UDR Forecast


Bullish Case: UDR's strong dividend growth, diversified portfolio, and low debt cost provide resilience and upside potential. Market correction may drive valuations higher.


Bearish Case: High implied volatility at lower strike prices signals potential downside risks. Market undervaluation and economic headwinds might persist, suppressing growth.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Price stagnation due to undervaluation (60%),

2. Moderate price increase on new investments (30%),

3. Price decline from economic downturn (10%).


Trading Oracle: Go long on short-term debit spreads, targeting next 30-60 days. Focus on in-the-money spreads at current price due to high implied volatility and potential bounce from historical underperformance.


July 18, 2024


UDR Forecast

UDR      UDR











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with UDR



AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (0.84)


TXN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TXN  Texas Instruments (0.84)


MRNA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MRNA  Moderna (0.83)


DD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DD  DuPont de Nemours (0.82)


TER Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TER  Teradyne (0.82)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to UDR



EXTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXTR  Extreme Networks (0.0)


NUE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NUE  Nucor (0.0)


AEO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AEO  American Eagle Outfitters (0.0)


ALTG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALTG  Alta Equipment (-0.0)


BC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BC  Brunswick (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against UDR



NFE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NFE  New Fortress Energy (-0.6)


YANG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YANG  Direxion Daily FTSE China Bear 3X Shares (-0.62)


AKAM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AKAM  Akamai (-0.62)


CME Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CME  CME (-0.64)


UVIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVIX  VS Trust - 2x Long VIX Futures (-0.69)





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