Bullish Case: The potential for strategic reforms in the Helium sector could lead to increased demand for VEGA, supported by historical returns suggesting that longer holding periods yield higher returns. The projected macroeconomic stabilization may also bolster investor confidence.

Bearish Case: Economic pressures and potential market corrections could suppress VEGA's price movements, as indicated by flat recent performance and subdued forecasts. A lack of significant catalysts may further risk stagnation in growth.

Potential Outcomes:

• 1. Continued flat performance: 60% chance; lack of catalysts limits movement.
• 2. Market correction (economic pressures): 25% chance; global conditions could trigger declines.
• 3. Strategic growth from favorable regulations: 10% chance; potential macro shifts could enhance demand.
• 4. Technological advancements boosting demand: 5% chance; unlikely but possible boosts from innovation.

Trading Oracle: Engage in credit spreads targeting a range of $40-$42 to capitalize on low volatility given the current flat trajectory. This strategy offers a favorable risk/reward profile while waiting for potential macro shifts that could stimulate greater price movements.

December 12, 2024