VOO Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Strong institutional inflows, positive historical returns, and AI forecasting suggest continued upward momentum for VOO. Robust investor confidence supports long-term growth.




Bearish Case: Elevated valuation indicators, geopolitical risks, and potential macroeconomic headwinds indicate a likelihood of downward correction, supported by high implied volatility.




Potential Outcomes: VOO stabilizes with a 40% chance, driven by institutional support. 35% chance of a correction due to geopolitical risks. 25% chance of a bullish spike with favorable economic signals.




Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread: buy a $560 call, sell a $565 call expiring in April 2025. This leverages recent volatility trends and bullish sentiment, optimizing reward-to-risk with anticipated ongoing institutional support and price stability.



February 01, 2025


Vanguard S&P 500 Forecast

VOO        Vanguard S&P 500











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with VOO



SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (1.0)


VGT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VGT  Vanguard Information Technology (0.97)


BSX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BSX  Boston Scientific (0.97)


KKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KKR  KKR (0.97)


BCS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BCS  Barclays (0.96)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VOO



AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (0.0)


HCC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCC  Warrior Met Coal (-0.02)


MPWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MPWR  Monolithic Power System (-0.03)


OLED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OLED  Universal Display (-0.03)


INTU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INTU  Intuit (-0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VOO



IEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IEP  Icahn (-0.88)


EL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EL  Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.89)


LEA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEA  Lear (-0.89)


COTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COTY  Coty (-0.9)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-1.0)









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