VOO Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Backed by strong institutional inflows and historical resilience, VOO's track record of stability supports continued investor confidence, with potential gains fueled by bullish option sentiment.




Bearish Case: Amid backwardation in implied volatility and economic uncertainties, high valuations might prompt corrections, risking downside pressures on VOO's price.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Flat trajectory holds (50%).
  • Volatility spike due to unforeseen events (30%).
  • Modest gains from ongoing inflows (20%).



June 20, 2025


Vanguard S&P 500 Forecast

VOO        Vanguard S&P 500











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with VOO



IVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IVV  BTC iShares Core S&P 500 (1.0)


VTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTI  Vanguard Total Stock Market (1.0)


XLG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLG  Invesco Capital Management LLC - Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 (0.97)


SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.95)


QQQM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   QQQM  Invesco Exchange-Traded Fund Trust II - Invesco NASDAQ 100 (0.95)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VOO



FNF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FNF  Fidelity National Financial (-0.0)


MKSI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MKSI  MKS Instruments (-0.0)


ALGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALGN  Align Technology (0.0)


M Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   M  Macy's (-0.01)


GOOS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GOOS  Canada Goose Holdings Inc (Subord Vot Shs) (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VOO



TMDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMDX  Transmedics (-0.56)


CNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNC  Centene (-0.57)


HII Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HII  Huntington Ingalls Industries (-0.6)


STNE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNE  StoneCo (-0.63)


SPXU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXU  ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500 (-0.94)









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