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VOO Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: VOO exhibits strong historical returns and high institutional confidence. Implied volatility is decreasing, indicating potential upside as market stabilizes.

Bearish Case: With backwardation in the term structure and recent tariffs impacting margins, VOO faces risks of further declines, heightened by low trading volumes and geopolitical tensions.

Potential Outcomes: Price stabilization: 45%
Volatility spike due to geopolitical events: 35%
Modest gains from institutional inflows: 20%

April 22, 2025

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VOO Vanguard S&P 500

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with VOO

IVV BTC iShares Core S&P 500 (1.0)

SSO ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.99)

XLG Invesco Capital Management LLC - Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 (0.99)

SPYG SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Growth (0.98)

VT Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Total World Stock (0.97)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VOO

EIX Edison International (0.0)

SAN Banco Santander (-0.01)

SCO ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil (0.01)

TRI Thomson-Reuters (-0.01)

HELE Helen of Troy (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VOO

UDN Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.75)

BMRN Registered Shares (-0.75)

EC Ecopetrol SA (-0.76)

DG Dollar General (-0.86)

SPDN Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1X Shares (-0.98)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.